2016年12月21日 星期三
2016年7月25日 星期一
Crude oil - more examples of RSI reversals and divergences
I agree that this method can only be used to provide an idea, not always suitable for trading purpose or should use other tools/methods to counter-confirm these signals.
2016年7月19日 星期二
hsi wk - RSI negative reversal
one of the analytic methods; real life trading needs other tools to confirm these signals
2016年6月30日 星期四
2016年6月23日 星期四
2016年6月21日 星期二
Can the same cycle of real estate in US be applied to HK?
(extracted from the book "Technical Analysis for Trading Professional 2nd Edition" by Constance Brown)
It is my 3rd time reading this book since 2009, every time I found there is something I missed and rediscovered and this time from its 2nd edition.
From what Mr. Edward Dewey discovered from US real estate data in the past, a cycle of 18 1/3 years was found.
Can we apply the same cycle to HK real estate? The answer is yes if we consider 1997 and a recent top in 2015. A further verification seems hard due to the lack of real estate data in the old days...
More interestingly, the contraction/down time is about 1/3 or 0.333 of the cycle (74 months from June 1997 to Aug. 2003); expansion is about 2/3 or 0.666.
When will the coming bottom end? IF the cycle holds and we simply add 18.333 years or 220 months to the bottom in Aug. 2003, it would be Dec. 2021...
It is my 3rd time reading this book since 2009, every time I found there is something I missed and rediscovered and this time from its 2nd edition.
From what Mr. Edward Dewey discovered from US real estate data in the past, a cycle of 18 1/3 years was found.
Can we apply the same cycle to HK real estate? The answer is yes if we consider 1997 and a recent top in 2015. A further verification seems hard due to the lack of real estate data in the old days...
More interestingly, the contraction/down time is about 1/3 or 0.333 of the cycle (74 months from June 1997 to Aug. 2003); expansion is about 2/3 or 0.666.
When will the coming bottom end? IF the cycle holds and we simply add 18.333 years or 220 months to the bottom in Aug. 2003, it would be Dec. 2021...
訂閱：
文章 (Atom)