Hang Sen 40(15 Minutes)20150630

one day rebound?

fib sequence hidden - future expectation (modified) (repost, Feb 23, 2013)

http://blog.yahoo.com/douglas_blog/articles/857011

fib sequence hidden - future expectation (repost, Nov. 12 2012)

http://blog.yahoo.com/douglas_blog/articles/672405

 OR

hsi cd pt plus time counts (repost, Aug. 6, 2012)

fib sequence hidden - conclusion (repost, Sep 23, 2012)

http://blog.yahoo.com/douglas_blog/articles/659279/category/Classified

dji 1991-2012 vs hsi 1989-2006 (repost, Sep. 17, 2012)

“In hoc signo vinces”

http://blog.yahoo.com/douglas_blog/articles/660399

dji and hsi lovely triangles (repost, Sep 10 2012)

http://blog.yahoo.com/_EIL6RUYGCQKNW6V4WX3AH3GAZI/articles/660439

http://blog.yahoo.com/_EIL6RUYGCQKNW6V4WX3AH3GAZI/articles/659267

fib sequence hidden - follow up (repost, Aug. 20 2012)

http://blog.yahoo.com/_EIL6RUYGCQKNW6V4WX3AH3GAZI/articles/624076

假設香港會跟美國1973-1980個PLAN行, 可能會係好似收音機信號(AM)咁…

(repost below)

hsi 2007-2014 vs dji 1929-1942 + 1973-1980 (repost, Aug. 10, 2012)

http://blog.yahoo.com/_EIL6RUYGCQKNW6V4WX3AH3GAZI/articles/633648

對比英, 美國市場, 香港真係歷史非常有限, 從未試過數以年計嘅大型correction, 要compare就惟有向佢地取經

我非常認同香港升穿21760嘅機會唔係無, 不過至少呢幾年內就非常之低啦, 比啲錢比C9同Ray. merriman賺就明白喇.

近100年內最差嘅情況, 例如美國1929開始嘅大蕭條, 去到1942先完成, 歷時12年8個月. 值得留意嘅係1942年2月個底都只係低1938年2月個底6點/6.1%. 若果plug-in 港股2007年起近似嘅大型correction數值並假設有參考價值嘅底頂, 要百年”二” 遇香港都只可能會再比16170跌多6.1% ???(15,183???) 當時仲要係第一次世界大戰之後, 百業待興喎; 近呢20-30年都無大規模國際戰爭…

同美國 1973-1980年比較就更樂觀, 中段見底後基本上係橫行, 都算係swing trader paradise. 假設完成整個correction嘅下一個大底係16170跌到16020 ??? 與香港現在所用的時間比較, 形態近似度可能同1973-1980年接近, 即7年兩個月(由2007年11月起計, 可能約在2015年1月完成???) 若果將兩幅圖泊埋睇, 2013年底可能似啲(非精密科學, 不可盡信)
追隨高手係好事, 可以學到好多知識上, 技巧上, 心理上嘅野. 不過, 如果去到一個程度近乎迷信, 失去左自我和批判思維, 咁仲點獨立思考決定每日買賣? 決定每日生活上嘅細節?

(nevermind the swing set-up here… not very important indeed)

fib sequence hidden (repost, Jun. 7 2012)

assume the start is correct… and wave pattern that follows 

http://blog.yahoo.com/douglas_blog/articles/623940

It gives the reason why the range contracts around .618

http://blog.yahoo.com/douglas_blog/articles/621866 

寫在歷史裡的趨勢 ep4 (repost, Mar. 21, 2013)

http://blog.yahoo.com/douglas_blog/articles/984127
http://blog.yahoo.com/douglas_blog/articles/1019975

翻查以往記錄, 最接近DOUBLE6描述嘅走勢會係右圖…

或者咁 …

(uploaded Apr. 30, 2013)

寫在歷史裡的趨勢 ep3 (repost, Jan. 31, 2013)

http://blog.yahoo.com/douglas_blog/articles/946991

basically, blue-blue path should be dominant,
parity … against buy & hold or long position

寫在歷史裡的趨勢 ep2 (repost, Dec. 23, 2012)

http://blog.yahoo.com/douglas_blog/articles/940506

寫在歷史裡的趨勢 ep1 (repost, Dec 21, 2012)

1/ 比較弱勢, 先破5, 後破3
2/ 平衡發展, 不破5, 後破
3/ 比較強勢, 不破5, 不破???

(labeling here is just to facilitate mparison, may not be exact wave counts)

Contraction for the 4th time? (repost, May 28, 2012)

some of us may have already noticed these, but
what if it can / cannot settle at 618 this time?
what implication if it fails?
why it keeps contracting?
when is the end of contraction? i think it is not common in a macro view (before 2007) notifiable with naked eyes …
i associate this with black holes, where things are pulled to have a very high density, which have a powerful attractive force over the surroundings…

HSI as an example of fractal theory (repost, Dec. 19, 2011)

Fractal 的特徵: 從大到細, 都obey同一個pattern, 即係self-similarity. 

樹枝既生長亦係一個較容易察看的例子. 

自性大而無外小而無內,